About a week ago, our indicators told us “supply” was now in control of the market. What happens to prices when there is not enough “demand” and too much “supply” of something? Prices must fall. So we should focus on protecting money. Moving to defense doesn’t mean that the market will go straight down. It… [Read More] Are we OK Just Protecting Money?
All of the short term AND long-term indicators I follow have now turned negative. All of ’em. Including the S&P 500. What’s that mean? Well, the S&P 500 Index is simply the 500 largest stocks in the US. And, basically, 70% of all money in mutual funds sits in the same 500 stocks. That’s a… [Read More] All Indicators Turn Negative in Down Markets
After Thursday and Friday’s action, the “NYSE Bullish Percent” has now reversed down into a column of O’s. This reversal down into O’s means the defensive team is on the field. So we move into a wealth preservation mode from a wealth accumulation mode. Does this mean the market will definitely crash? Absolutely not! A… [Read More] Here’s The Signal To Begin Wealth Accumulation Mode
As I am writing this, the Dow Jones is down nearly 180 points. Sounds like a lot, right? That’s about 1.5% By comparison, October 19, 1987 the stock market dropped 22% in one day. Perspective does matter. Anyway, the last few days, I’ve seen headlines like: – Greenspan Thinks U.S. Heading Toward Recession – High-Risk… [Read More] The Stock Market is Down Today
Think you would you be HAPPY earning less than 1% a year on your money? Many people are…and you might be one of them! Look in your retirement plan, or 401k at work. Say we invest it in the S&P 500 Index at the end of 1999. Leave it there. You’re supposed to be a… [Read More] Is Your 401k Earning Less Than One Percent?
We’ve seen lots of articles and news pieces about the explosion of Exchange-Traded Funds, or ETF’s. Most of the opinions have been negative. In fact, one writer compared this with the flood of closed-end funds created in the late 1920’s (before the stock market crashed). My opinion: ETF’s are a great tool, and worth looking… [Read More] Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) Explosion Part II