defense

June 15, 2008

  • Indicators pointing toward Defense now

    The indicators flipped to defense this past week.
    What does that mean?
    Well for many of us, we have a LOT of money already in cash. so we're properly positioned. But now what? (…)

March 22, 2008

  • Goldman Stearns and Lehman Sachs

    All these firms hold the same investments.
    There is STILL considerable risk in the group.
    Why did this happen to just Bear Stearns? (…)

March 23, 2007

  • Am I the Only One Losing?

    In my previous message, I talked about how we moved to defense
    twice in 2004, but it seemed the market didn't go down either time.
    If the markets weren't going down, why get defensive? (…)

  • Are We OK?

    About a week ago, our indicators told us "supply" was now in
    control of the market. (…)

March 5, 2007

  • All Indicators Now Negative

    All of the short term AND long-term indicators I follow have now turned negative. 
    All of 'em.  Including the S&P 500. (…)

  • Here's The Signal

    After Thursday and Friday's action, the "NYSE Bullish Percent" has now reversed down into a column of O's. (…)

January 20, 2007

  • Defensive Steps, part 1

    I want to share with you the part of my playbook I use when the market starts falling.  Although that is NOT happening now, it also wasn’t raining when Noah built his Ark. (…)

  • Defensive Steps, part 2

    Should we just “sell everything” and raise cash when the market flips from offense to defense?  The short answer is NO. (…)

  • Defensive Steps, Part 3

    We’ve discussed several of the plays we have sitting in our “defensive playbook.”  These are steps we can take to protect the value of your account when the market is falling. (…)

January 16, 2007

  • Should we be concerned?

    The indicators I follow are starting to give back some ground.  Not enough for a reversal, or a sell signal.  But it’s the first few cracks we’ve seen in a market that has gone nearly straight up since late summer. (…)